Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryWalbert
87K ←80
4.06ERA →3.30
1.31WHIP ←1.45
2–3W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryWalbert
35K →41
5.13ERA →2.44
1.35WHIP ←1.38
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Prielipp
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.81)
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.30 is 0.62 above the ERA — regression coming
Connor Prielipp: 87 K / 4.06 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 80 K / 3.30 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).