Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryGrant
87K →96
4.06ERA ←4.38
1.31WHIP ←1.37
2–3W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryGrant
35K →53
5.13ERA →3.95
1.35WHIP →1.33
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Prielipp
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.81)
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.53 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
Connor Prielipp: 87 K / 4.06 ERA. Grant Holmes: 96 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).