Rest of Season Projection
CarmenCategoryGrant
87K →100
4.53ERA →4.37
1.39WHIP →1.37
5–10W ←3–8
0SV0
Current Season
CarmenCategoryGrant
46K →53
3.76ERA ←3.95
1.42WHIP →1.33
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carmen Mlodzinski
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.76 +0.66 vs league with no luck excuse
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.51 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Carmen Mlodzinski: 87 K / 4.53 ERA. Grant Holmes: 100 K / 4.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).