Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategoryRhett
96K ←67
4.38ERA →4.29
1.37WHIP →1.35
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
GrantCategoryRhett
53K ←31
3.95ERA ←5.01
1.33WHIP ←1.45
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.53 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
Rhett Lowder
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.07)
Grant Holmes: 96 K / 4.38 ERA. Rhett Lowder: 67 K / 4.29 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).