Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryRhett
63K →67
4.08ERA ←4.29
1.30WHIP ←1.35
2–5W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryRhett
20K →31
1.71ERA ←5.01
0.86WHIP ←1.45
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Miller
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.226 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.82 is 0.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Rhett Lowder
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.07)
Bryce Miller: 63 K / 4.08 ERA. Rhett Lowder: 67 K / 4.29 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).