MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 (K, ERA); Nick Lodolo wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Nick Lodolo
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Nick Lodolo
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Nick Lodolo
16.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Nick Lodolo
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Nick Lodolo
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Nick Lodolo
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.330
Nick Lodolo
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
3.097.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.17
Nick Lodolo
3.097.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
4.27
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.221.62
now 1.53
1.34
Nick Lodolo
1.221.62
now 1.37
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
40108.80
now 43
84
Nick Lodolo
40108.80
now 22
75
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.0009
now 2
25
Nick Lodolo
.0009
now 2
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeNick Lodolo — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet