Rest of Season Projection
LanceCategoryMartín
89K ←62
4.17ERA →4.01
1.34WHIP →1.32
3–6W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
LanceCategoryMartín
43K ←42
6.86ERA →2.79
1.53WHIP →1.06
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lance McCullers Jr.
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.48)
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.01 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Lance McCullers Jr.: 89 K / 4.17 ERA. Martín Pérez: 62 K / 4.01 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).