Rest of Season Projection
NickCategorySean
87K →100
4.27ERA →3.63
1.31WHIP →1.27
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
NickCategorySean
22K →60
5.20ERA →3.72
1.37WHIP →1.13
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Burke
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.63, 0.47 below league — production is earned
Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Sean Burke: 100 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).