Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryNick
115K ←87
4.34ERA →4.27
1.33WHIP →1.31
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategoryNick
74K ←22
4.34ERA ←5.20
1.33WHIP ←1.37
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Leiter
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.47 +0.37 vs league with no luck excuse
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Leiter: 115 K / 4.34 ERA. Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).