Rest of Season Projection
JackCategorySteven
115K ←81
4.34ERA ←4.49
1.33WHIP →1.32
3–7W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategorySteven
74K ←35
4.34ERA ←4.67
1.33WHIP →1.24
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Leiter
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.47 +0.37 vs league with no luck excuse
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Leiter: 115 K / 4.34 ERA. Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).