Rest of Season Projection
NickCategorySteven
87K ←81
4.27ERA ←4.49
1.31WHIP ←1.32
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
NickCategorySteven
22K →35
5.20ERA →4.67
1.37WHIP →1.24
2W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).