Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategorySteven
75K →81
4.15ERA ←4.49
1.33WHIP →1.32
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategorySteven
33K →35
3.35ERA ←4.67
1.37WHIP →1.24
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Young
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Matz leads 81 K to Young's 75; Young edges ERA 4.15 to 4.49. The verdicts reflect the divergence: hold Young, sell Matz.