Rest of Season Projection
StevenCategoryZebby
81K →88
4.49ERA →4.07
1.32WHIP →1.29
6–12W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
StevenCategoryZebby
35K ←24
4.67ERA →4.63
1.24WHIP →1.03
4W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Zebby Matthews
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.00)
Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Zebby Matthews: 88 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).