MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

NickCategoryZebby
87K 88
4.27ERA 4.07
1.31WHIP 1.29
4–9W 2–5
0SV0

Current Season

NickCategoryZebby
22K 24
5.20ERA 4.63
1.37WHIP 1.03
2W 1
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Nick Lodolo
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Zebby Matthews
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.00)

Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Zebby Matthews: 88 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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