Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryNick
87K87
4.10ERA ←4.27
1.30WHIP ←1.31
3–6W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
CarlosCategoryNick
20K →22
3.32ERA ←5.20
1.32WHIP ←1.37
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Rodón
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.16)
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Carlos Rodón: 87 K / 4.10 ERA. Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).