Rest of Season Projection
StevenCategoryTrevor
81K →84
4.49ERA →4.07
1.32WHIP →1.30
6–12W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
StevenCategoryTrevor
35K ←27
4.67ERA →4.34
1.24WHIP →1.07
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.85 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Trevor McDonald
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.79)
Steven Matz: 81 K / 4.49 ERA. Trevor McDonald: 84 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).