MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Germán Márquez
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Germán Márquez wins 2 (ERA, W); Nick Lodolo wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Germán Márquez
94.7
Nick Lodolo
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
9.6%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
16.1%
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
25.8%
Nick Lodolo
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
44.4%
Nick Lodolo
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
9.8%
Nick Lodolo
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Germán Márquez
.359
Nick Lodolo
.374
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Germán Márquez
4.786.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.76
5.06
Nick Lodolo
4.786.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.43
WHIPlower is better
Germán Márquez
1.301.52
now 1.45
1.45
Nick Lodolo
1.301.52
now 1.37
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Germán Márquez
4048.40
now 19
31
Nick Lodolo
4048.40
now 22
40
Winshigher is better
Germán Márquez
.4007.60
now 3
36
Nick Lodolo
.4007.60
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGermán Márquez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
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