MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Germán Márquez
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Germán Márquez wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Germán Márquez
94.6
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
9.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
14.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
25.2%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
44.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
9.3%
Spencer Arrighetti
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Germán Márquez
.361
Spencer Arrighetti
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Germán Márquez
27.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.76
4.23
Spencer Arrighetti
27.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.82
WHIPlower is better
Germán Márquez
11.58
now 1.45
1.33
Spencer Arrighetti
11.58
now 1.13
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Germán Márquez
4075
now 19
44
Spencer Arrighetti
4075
now 43
59
Winshigher is better
Germán Márquez
.00017
now 3
48
Spencer Arrighetti
.00017
now 7
613

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGermán Márquez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.79
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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