MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 5, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSH·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CadeCategorySpencer
119K 97
3.96ERA 4.65
1.33WHIP 1.43
3–7W 10–21
0SV0

Current Season

CadeCategorySpencer
74K 43
3.62ERA 1.34
1.42WHIP 1.13
3W 7
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cade Cavalli
  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.96)
Spencer Arrighetti
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.95 is 3.01 above the ERA — regression coming

Cade Cavalli: 119 K / 3.96 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 97 K / 4.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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