MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.6
Spencer Arrighetti
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.8%
Spencer Arrighetti
23.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
30.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
4.2%
Spencer Arrighetti
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.292
Spencer Arrighetti
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.48
Spencer Arrighetti
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.41
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9601.49
now 1.08
1.31
Spencer Arrighetti
.9601.49
now 1.13
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4086.40
now 61
73
Spencer Arrighetti
4086.40
now 43
74
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.00018
now 4
37
Spencer Arrighetti
.00018
now 7
816

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.79
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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