MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.5
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.2%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.7%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
27.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
40.5%
Spencer Arrighetti
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.306
Spencer Arrighetti
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.90
Spencer Arrighetti
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.74
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9401.57
now 1.08
1.29
Spencer Arrighetti
.9401.57
now 1.13
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4071
now 61
36
Spencer Arrighetti
4071
now 43
37
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.00010.40
now 4
23
Spencer Arrighetti
.00010.40
now 7
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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