Who's more valuable, rest of season
Connelly Early.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Spencer Arrighetti’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Connelly Early wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.5%
Spencer Arrighetti
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
41.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
31.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
11.0%
Spencer Arrighetti
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.322
Spencer Arrighetti
.338
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
25.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.22
Spencer Arrighetti
25.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.54
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.031.49
now 1.16
1.30
Spencer Arrighetti
1.031.49
now 1.13
1.39
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4087.80
now 57
75
Spencer Arrighetti
4087.80
now 43
68
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.00018
now 5
4–9
Spencer Arrighetti
.00018
now 7
7–15
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95