MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of MacKenzie Gore
MacKenzie Gore
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (WHIP, W); MacKenzie Gore wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
MacKenzie Gore
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
MacKenzie Gore
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
MacKenzie Gore
25.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
MacKenzie Gore
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
MacKenzie Gore
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
MacKenzie Gore
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.321
MacKenzie Gore
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.444.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.23
MacKenzie Gore
2.444.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.96
3.88
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.091.39
now 1.16
1.31
MacKenzie Gore
1.091.39
now 1.19
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
48.4070.60
now 57
54
MacKenzie Gore
48.4070.60
now 65
58
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.4007.60
now 5
36
MacKenzie Gore
.4007.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyMacKenzie Gore — hold.conf 0.60
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