Rest of Season Projection
J.T.CategoryMacKenzie
90K →107
3.75ERA ←4.08
1.34WHIP ←1.36
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
J.T.CategoryMacKenzie
52K →65
2.87ERA ←3.96
1.14WHIP ←1.19
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.T. Ginn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.75 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
MacKenzie Gore
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.08)
J.T. Ginn: 90 K / 3.75 ERA. MacKenzie Gore: 107 K / 4.08 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).