week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
MacKenzie Gore
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.18); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 4.15WHIP 1.36W 0–0SV 0
Gore is a hold — the profile is dead average, and that's the point.
ROS projects K 65 YTD → 0 ROS, ERA 3.96 YTD → 4.15 ROS, WHIP 1.19 YTD → 1.36 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.2%—−2.4% ▼vs his ~25.6% career norm
- Walk %9.5%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~9.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.18)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed41.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
498 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
498 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
750 / 200 TBF
xERA4.18
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.08vs his norm —
750 / 200 TBF
ERA4.58
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.48vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
173 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm −2.4% ▼
750 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
750 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.296
lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
498 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
750 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
750 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
2962 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.2%→23.7%signal0 K — K% 23.2% (signal) lifted to career ~25.6% → projected 23.7% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.18signal4.15 ERA — xERA 4.18 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 61 IP.
BB% 9.5% + contactsignal1.36 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.38 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.15 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.