MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 1 (WHIP); J.T. Ginn wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
J.T. Ginn
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
J.T. Ginn
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
J.T. Ginn
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
J.T. Ginn
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
J.T. Ginn
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
J.T. Ginn
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
J.T. Ginn
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.314.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
J.T. Ginn
2.314.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.061.42
now 1.16
1.31
J.T. Ginn
1.061.42
now 1.14
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4079.80
now 57
0
J.T. Ginn
4079.80
now 52
0
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
J.T. Ginn
.0007
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighJ.T. Ginn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
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