MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 1 (ERA); Zebby Matthews wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Zebby Matthews
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.0%
Zebby Matthews
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.5%
Zebby Matthews
21.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.2%
Zebby Matthews
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
39.9%
Zebby Matthews
42.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Zebby Matthews
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.317
Zebby Matthews
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.285.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.21
Zebby Matthews
2.285.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.28
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9201.41
now 1.16
1.30
Zebby Matthews
.9201.41
now 1.03
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4079.80
now 57
0
Zebby Matthews
4079.80
now 24
0
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
Zebby Matthews
.0007
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · leans sellZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60
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