Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aaron Nola.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Connelly Early’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Connelly Early wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Connelly Early
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
11.1%
Connelly Early
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.2%
Connelly Early
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.6%
Connelly Early
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.2%
Connelly Early
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.4%
Connelly Early
10.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.322
Connelly Early
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.22
Connelly Early
26.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.29
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.071.48
now 1.39
1.32
Connelly Early
1.071.48
now 1.16
1.32
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
45.8096.20
now 64
85
Connelly Early
45.8096.20
now 57
77
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.00011.80
now 3
2–5
Connelly Early
.00011.80
now 5
4–9
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95