Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 1 (ERA); Connelly Early wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.6%
Connelly Early
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.8%
Connelly Early
23.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
33.3%
Connelly Early
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.3%
Connelly Early
39.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.3%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.314
Connelly Early
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.15
Connelly Early
26.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.21
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.071.48
now 1.39
1.31
Connelly Early
1.071.48
now 1.16
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4089.60
now 64
0
Connelly Early
4089.60
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0007
now 3
0–0
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95

