Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Bryce Elder
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Bryce Elder
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.0%
Bryce Elder
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.9%
Bryce Elder
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.5%
Bryce Elder
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.0%
Bryce Elder
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.318
Bryce Elder
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.18
Bryce Elder
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.79
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
.9601.51
now 1.39
1.31
Bryce Elder
.9601.51
now 1.08
1.31
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
47.4069.60
now 64
63
Bryce Elder
47.4069.60
now 61
53
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.8006.20
now 3
2–4
Bryce Elder
.8006.20
now 4
2–5
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.69