MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 2 (ERA, W); Zebby Matthews wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.5
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.5%
Zebby Matthews
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Zebby Matthews
20.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.3%
Zebby Matthews
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.3%
Zebby Matthews
37.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
4.7%
Zebby Matthews
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.296
Zebby Matthews
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
25.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.58
Zebby Matthews
25.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9201.42
now 1.08
1.31
Zebby Matthews
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4091.20
now 61
65
Zebby Matthews
4091.20
now 24
72
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0008
now 4
36
Zebby Matthews
.0008
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.76
Hold · steadyZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60
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