Who's more valuable, rest of season
Connelly Early.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Bryce Elder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Connelly Early wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.5
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.5%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
20.0%
Connelly Early
23.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
29.3%
Connelly Early
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.3%
Connelly Early
41.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
4.7%
Connelly Early
11.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.296
Connelly Early
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
3.56
Connelly Early
24.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.22
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9901.40
now 1.08
1.31
Connelly Early
.9901.40
now 1.16
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
50.2080.80
now 61
68
Connelly Early
50.2080.80
now 57
74
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.60011.40
now 4
3–6
Connelly Early
.60011.40
now 5
4–9
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Elder — buy.conf 0.76
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93