MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 1 (ERA); Connelly Early wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.4
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.0%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.1%
Connelly Early
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
27.6%
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.9%
Connelly Early
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.8%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.313
Connelly Early
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
4.11
Connelly Early
24.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9901.40
now 1.08
1.31
Connelly Early
.9901.40
now 1.16
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4081
now 61
11
Connelly Early
4081
now 57
12
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0007
now 4
01
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
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