MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Garrett Crochet
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 0 (none); Garrett Crochet wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Garrett Crochet
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.0%
Garrett Crochet
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.5%
Garrett Crochet
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.2%
Garrett Crochet
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
39.9%
Garrett Crochet
45.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Garrett Crochet
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.317
Garrett Crochet
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
27.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.21
Garrett Crochet
27.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.30
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.041.59
now 1.16
1.30
Garrett Crochet
1.041.59
now 1.47
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4079.80
now 57
0
Garrett Crochet
4079.80
now 37
0
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
Garrett Crochet
.0007
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Crochet — hold.conf 0.55
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