MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Quinn Mathews
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 1 (WHIP); Quinn Mathews wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Quinn Mathews
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.0%
Quinn Mathews
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.5%
Quinn Mathews
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.2%
Quinn Mathews
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
39.9%
Quinn Mathews
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Quinn Mathews
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.317
Quinn Mathews
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.454.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.21
Quinn Mathews
2.454.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9002.06
now 1.16
1.30
Quinn Mathews
.9002.06
now 1.80
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4079.80
now 57
0
Quinn Mathews
4079.80
now 3
0
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
Quinn Mathews
.0007
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · leans buyQuinn Mathews — hold.conf 0.60
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