MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATL · P
Change to
Quinn Mathews
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Elder wins 1 (WHIP); Quinn Mathews wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Elder
92.4
Quinn Mathews
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
10.0%
Quinn Mathews
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
19.1%
Quinn Mathews
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Elder
27.6%
Quinn Mathews
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
39.9%
Quinn Mathews
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Elder
6.8%
Quinn Mathews
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Elder
.313
Quinn Mathews
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Elder
24.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.50
4.13
Quinn Mathews
24.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Elder
.9002.09
now 1.08
1.31
Quinn Mathews
.9002.09
now 1.80
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Elder
4085.40
now 61
0
Quinn Mathews
4085.40
now 3
0
Winshigher is better
Bryce Elder
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Quinn Mathews
.0005.60
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryce Elder — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyQuinn Mathews — hold.conf 0.60
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