MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Garrett Crochet
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Garrett Crochet.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Aaron Nola’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Garrett Crochet wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Garrett Crochet
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Garrett Crochet
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Garrett Crochet
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Garrett Crochet
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Garrett Crochet
45.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Garrett Crochet
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Garrett Crochet
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.017.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Garrett Crochet
3.017.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.30
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.231.54
now 1.39
1.31
Garrett Crochet
1.231.54
now 1.47
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4084.40
now 64
13
Garrett Crochet
4084.40
now 37
15
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
01
Garrett Crochet
.0004.20
now 3
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Crochet — hold.conf 0.55
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