MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, WHIP); J.T. Ginn wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
J.T. Ginn
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
J.T. Ginn
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.6%
J.T. Ginn
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.3%
J.T. Ginn
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.5%
J.T. Ginn
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.4%
J.T. Ginn
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
J.T. Ginn
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.24
J.T. Ginn
26.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
3.97
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.041.49
now 1.39
1.32
J.T. Ginn
1.041.49
now 1.14
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4072
now 64
55
J.T. Ginn
4072
now 52
44
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.204.80
now 3
23
J.T. Ginn
1.204.80
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighJ.T. Ginn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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