MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 1 (WHIP); J.T. Ginn wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
J.T. Ginn
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.6%
J.T. Ginn
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.8%
J.T. Ginn
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
33.3%
J.T. Ginn
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.3%
J.T. Ginn
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.3%
J.T. Ginn
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.314
J.T. Ginn
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.15
J.T. Ginn
26.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.041.49
now 1.39
1.31
J.T. Ginn
1.041.49
now 1.14
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4089.60
now 64
0
J.T. Ginn
4089.60
now 52
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
J.T. Ginn
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighJ.T. Ginn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
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