MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Clay Holmes
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connelly Early.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Clay Holmes wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
94.6
Connelly Early
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Connelly Early
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Connelly Early
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Connelly Early
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Connelly Early
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
5.3%
Connelly Early
10.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.306
Connelly Early
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.84
Connelly Early
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.30
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
1.011.42
now 1.10
1.33
Connelly Early
1.011.42
now 1.16
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4096.80
now 45
72
Connelly Early
4096.80
now 57
82
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
1.6012.40
now 4
49
Connelly Early
1.6012.40
now 5
410

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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