MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Connelly Early.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Clay Holmes wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
94.6
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Connelly Early
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Connelly Early
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
5.3%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.306
Connelly Early
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.91
Connelly Early
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
1.011.42
now 1.10
1.33
Connelly Early
1.011.42
now 1.16
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4065.40
now 45
36
Connelly Early
4065.40
now 57
39
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.8006.20
now 4
24
Connelly Early
.8006.20
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
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