MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Clay Holmes wins 1 (ERA); Connelly Early wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
92.9
Connelly Early
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
9.9%
Connelly Early
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
18.6%
Connelly Early
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.8%
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
40.5%
Connelly Early
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
4.4%
Connelly Early
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.303
Connelly Early
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.86
Connelly Early
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
.9901.49
now 1.10
1.38
Connelly Early
.9901.49
now 1.16
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4079.80
now 45
0
Connelly Early
4079.80
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.0007
now 4
0–0
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet