Rest of Season Projection
AndreCategorySpencer
77K →97
3.82ERA ←4.65
1.36WHIP ←1.43
6–12W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
AndreCategorySpencer
46K ←43
4.19ERA →1.34
1.34WHIP →1.13
5W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andre Pallante
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.82)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.95 is 3.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Andre Pallante: 77 K / 3.82 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 97 K / 4.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).