Rest of Season Projection
GeorgeCategorySpencer
98K98
3.45ERA ←4.24
1.30WHIP ←1.35
5–11W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
GeorgeCategorySpencer
59K ←43
3.77ERA →1.34
1.22WHIP →1.13
5W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
George Kirby
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.45)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
George Kirby: 98 K / 3.45 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).