MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andre Pallante
week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Andre Pallante

STL·P
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (3.89); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSK 10ERA 3.89WHIP 1.36W 1–2SV 0

Pallante is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.

His expected ERA is 3.89, close to the league average of 4.10, and that is a stable read — 584 batters faced is well past the point where the number becomes reliable. Nothing in the profile is being carried by luck or dragged down by bad breaks. He has walked 7.7% of batters, which is right at league average. His strikeout rate is 16.8%, below the league average of 22.0%, but his contact suppression compensates: his xwOBA allowed is .305, slightly better than league, and his hard-hit rate allowed of 33.6% sits below the 40.0% league mark. His expected ERA has been stepping down across the sample, which adds a bit of cushion. There is no unstable stat driving the line either way. Hold. 10 K and a 3.89 ERA is streaming-only volume — hold if you must, but this is waiver-wire filler, not a stash.

VS His Norm

  • Walk %7.7%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~9.0% career norm
  • Strikeout %16.8%—+0.4% ▲vs his ~16.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.89)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.6%
33.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.4%vs his norm —
435 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.1%
5.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —
435 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.305
.305*
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —
584 / 200 TBF
xERA3.89
3.89*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21vs his norm —
584 / 200 TBF
ERA3.51
3.51*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.59vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
141 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.8%
norm16.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.2%vs his norm +0.4% ▲
584 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.7%
norm7.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm −1.3% ▼
584 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.283
.283*
lg avg .295 ▼−.012vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
435 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.5%
9.5%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
584 / 60 TBF
Chase %26.6%
26.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
584 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.2 mph
95.2 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
2275 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.8%→16.7%signal10 K — K% 16.8% (signal) tempered to career ~16.4% → projected 16.7% over ~13 remaining…
xERA 3.89signal3.89 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.89 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…
BB% 7.7% + contactsignal1.36 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.288 gives a 1.39 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop10 K ROS, 3.89 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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