MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andre Pallante
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Andre Pallante

STL·P
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.15); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSK 0ERA 4.13WHIP 1.37W 0–0SV 0

Pallante is a hold — league-average, and the trend is not helping.

His expected ERA is 4.15, essentially the league average of 4.10, and with 679 batters faced that number has had plenty of time to settle. His expected wOBA allowed is .313 against a league mark of .315, so the contact he is giving up lands right at the middle of the league. Nothing unstable is pushing the line in either direction. The xERA has been stepping up across the sample, though, and the strikeout rate is a modest 16.2% against a 22% league average — the whiffs come from chase and swinging-strike rates that sit below league, while his 95.2 mph fastball is above it. There is no luck story to sell and no hidden skill to buy. Hold. A 0 K / 4.13 ERA / 1.37 WHIP line is a drop-tier drag — no strikeouts means no reason to hold.

VS His Norm

  • Walk %7.4%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~9.0% career norm
  • Strikeout %16.2%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~16.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.15)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.2%
34.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —
511 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.9%
4.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
511 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.313
.313*
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —
679 / 200 TBF
xERA4.15
4.15*
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.05vs his norm —
679 / 200 TBF
ERA3.83
3.83*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.27vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
162 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.2%
norm16.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm −0.2% ▼
679 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.4%
norm7.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm −1.6% ▼
679 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
.289*
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
511 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.4%
9.4%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
679 / 60 TBF
Chase %26.4%
26.4%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
679 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.2 mph
95.2 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
2642 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.2%→16.3%signal0 K — K% 16.2% (signal) held to career ~16.4% → projected 16.3% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.15signal4.13 ERA — xERA 4.15 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 58 IP.
BB% 7.4% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.291 gives a 1.40 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop0 K ROS, 4.13 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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