Rest of Season Projection
AndreCategoryClay
70K →81
3.78ERA3.78
1.35WHIP →1.33
5–11W ←5–10
0SV0
Current Season
AndreCategoryClay
46K ←45
4.19ERA →2.39
1.34WHIP →1.10
5W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andre Pallante
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.78, 0.32 below league — production is earned
Clay Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.252 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.78 is 1.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Andre Pallante: 71 K / 3.77 ERA. Clay Holmes: 82 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).