Rest of Season Projection
AndreCategoryConnelly
76K →102
3.83ERA ←4.45
1.36WHIP →1.30
6–12W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
AndreCategoryConnelly
46K →57
4.19ERA →2.95
1.34WHIP →1.16
5W5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andre Pallante
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.83)
Connelly Early
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.64 is 1.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Andre Pallante: 76 K / 3.83 ERA. Connelly Early: 102 K / 4.45 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).