MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of George Kirby
George Kirby
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 1 (WHIP); George Kirby wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
George Kirby
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
George Kirby
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
George Kirby
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
George Kirby
34.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
George Kirby
40.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
George Kirby
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
George Kirby
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.434.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.25
George Kirby
2.434.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.04
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.081.43
now 1.16
1.31
George Kirby
1.081.43
now 1.22
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4078.20
now 57
11
George Kirby
4078.20
now 59
11
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0006.60
now 5
11
George Kirby
.0006.60
now 5
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyGeorge Kirby — hold.conf 0.60
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