Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jared Jones.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Connelly Early’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Jared Jones wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Connelly Early wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Jared Jones
98.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Jared Jones
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Jared Jones
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Jared Jones
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Jared Jones
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Jared Jones
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
Jared Jones
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.24
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
3.62
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9002.45
now 1.16
1.31
Jared Jones
.9002.45
now 2.08
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4077.40
now 57
12
Jared Jones
4077.40
now 6
13
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
1–1
Jared Jones
.0007
now 0
0–0
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
BuyJared Jones — buy.conf 0.74