Rest of Season Projection
ConnellyCategoryJosé
104K →124
4.44ERA →4.07
1.30WHIP ←1.36
6–12W6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ConnellyCategoryJosé
57K →85
2.95ERA →2.72
1.16WHIP ←1.21
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connelly Early
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.63 is 1.37 above the ERA — regression coming
José Soriano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.07 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Connelly Early: 104 K / 4.44 ERA. José Soriano: 124 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).