MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Keider Montero
Keider Montero
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (K, W); Keider Montero wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Keider Montero
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Keider Montero
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Keider Montero
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Keider Montero
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Keider Montero
38.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Keider Montero
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.321
Keider Montero
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
Keider Montero
2.434.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.69
3.48
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9001.43
now 1.16
1.31
Keider Montero
.9001.43
now 1.00
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4064.20
now 57
53
Keider Montero
4064.20
now 43
39
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0008
now 5
36
Keider Montero
.0008
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
BuyKeider Montero — buy.conf 0.79
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