MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Clay Holmes
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Clay Holmes wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
94.6
Spencer Arrighetti
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Spencer Arrighetti
29.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
5.3%
Spencer Arrighetti
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.306
Spencer Arrighetti
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
25.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.80
Spencer Arrighetti
25.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.37
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
.9801.53
now 1.10
1.33
Spencer Arrighetti
.9801.53
now 1.13
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4094.80
now 45
75
Spencer Arrighetti
4094.80
now 43
80
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.00018
now 4
49
Spencer Arrighetti
.00018
now 7
817

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet