MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Hunter Greene
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Greene.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Spencer Arrighetti’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Greene wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Greene
98.4
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
14.5%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
30.9%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Greene
31.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Greene
46.6%
Spencer Arrighetti
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Greene
5.2%
Spencer Arrighetti
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Greene
.332
Spencer Arrighetti
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Greene
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 21.60
4.10
Spencer Arrighetti
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.76
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Greene
.9002.55
now 3.30
1.30
Spencer Arrighetti
.9002.55
now 1.13
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Greene
4089.60
now 7
66
Spencer Arrighetti
4089.60
now 43
45
Winshigher is better
Hunter Greene
.00014
now 0
00
Spencer Arrighetti
.00014
now 7
510

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeHunter Greene — hold.conf 0.55
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86
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