MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); Stephen Kolek wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Spencer Arrighetti
10.7%
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Spencer Arrighetti
22.5%
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Spencer Arrighetti
26.1%
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Spencer Arrighetti
30.6%
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Spencer Arrighetti
7.7%
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Spencer Arrighetti
.345
Stephen Kolek
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Spencer Arrighetti
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.74
Stephen Kolek
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Spencer Arrighetti
.9001.63
now 1.13
1.43
Stephen Kolek
.9001.63
now 0.94
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Spencer Arrighetti
4054
now 43
44
Stephen Kolek
4054
now 19
29
Winshigher is better
Spencer Arrighetti
.20012.80
now 7
410
Stephen Kolek
.20012.80
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet