Rest of Season Projection
FreddyCategorySpencer
119K ←97
3.77ERA ←4.65
1.34WHIP ←1.43
3–7W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
FreddyCategorySpencer
68K ←43
3.55ERA →1.34
1.30WHIP →1.13
3W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Freddy Peralta
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.77)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.95 is 3.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Freddy Peralta: 119 K / 3.77 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 97 K / 4.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).