Rest of Season Projection
SandyCategorySpencer
75K →84
3.87ERA ←4.55
1.31WHIP ←1.44
3–7W →8–18
0SV0
Current Season
SandyCategorySpencer
57K ←43
4.59ERA →1.34
1.30WHIP →1.13
4W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sandy Alcantara
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.87)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.79 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
Sandy Alcantara: 75 K / 3.87 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 84 K / 4.55 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).